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Written by Jim Patterson
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Thursday, 27 December 2007 |
Here’s the Deal:
Holiday schedule: I will
have a short report Friday afternoon and that will be the last
report until Wednesday January 2, unless something dramatic
happens.
Suicide bombing
assassinations tend to rock markets globally. After four
consecutive days of advance a measured pullback was somewhat
expected. Thursday’s unfortunate events magnified a somewhat
expected correction and by the end of the day with the low
volume holiday climate the sellers managed to gain some serious
traction. If it persists then we will be forced to re-evaluate
our overall considerations.
The bad news, the
overall outlook is grim. Here is another story outlining the
devastation in the banking and lending sector.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/12/23/cccrisis123.xml&page=1
The good news, the overall outlook is grim. This is a case of
having reached the point where everyone is keenly aware of the
problems and the possible repercussions should the issues fail
to be addressed in a timely manner. Applying the correct
solution is secondary to the fact visible attempts are being
made to surmount the current problems at hand.
Trading was a little
brisker than Wednesday as expected. However, it was driven by a
slight measure of short-term panic. With the negative news
developments in conjunction with a softer than expected durable
goods report, the market quickly lost its bright holiday
spirit. In the grand scheme of things, this should amount to a
somewhat normal minor pullback in line with our very short-term
cycle expectations.
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Written by Jim Patterson
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Wednesday, 26 December 2007 |
Here’s the Deal:
At last, Christmas
Vacation. What a great time of year. We had a wonderful
Christmas and I hope you had one too. I even managed to find
time to take a nap. Now it is time to get back to work, well,
sort of anyway.
I found an excellent
article depicting the current Sub-Prime Lending situation. It
has some nice graphics.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7073131.stm?src=rss
Christmas Eve Trading
was stupendous as spirits were bright and after the holiday,
spirits remains high. Maybe it is because the credit card bills
haven’t shown up yet. The day after wasn’t much of a day.
Tuesday is a great day for the Christmas Holiday. With a half
day on Monday very little gets done, and by the time people
awaken from their Christmas slumber (read: Thursday morning)
there just isn’t a whole lot of week left to get things done,
so sit back and relax. Take in a movie; we don’t expect much
over the next few days.
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Last Updated ( Wednesday, 26 December 2007 )
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Written by Jim Patterson
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Friday, 21 December 2007 |
Here’s the Deal:
*** The market closes at
1:00 PM on Monday the 24. The next update will be Wednesday
Evening unless something dramatic happens on Monday, which is
not expected.
First ORCL and now RIMM,
how can this be, companies reporting good earnings when the
financial system is busting at the seams? Simple, the economy
is chugging along while the banking system is in a state of
extreme distress. At the end of the day, all our work is
pointing towards higher prices into the New Year and with
expiration on Friday the overdue move finally took off.
Key resistance levels
were smashed on the open thereby crushing the near-term bearish
alternatives. Our cycle work continues to point higher.
Resistance levels can now be defined by upside Fibonacci
extension levels.
If our overall interpretation is correct then from a big
picture pattern stand point, the market just completed a major
wave 2 correction within a much larger 5 wave rally pattern.
Of course, as the current push higher unfolds we will be
looking for particular characteristics to confirm our big
picture expectations.
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Last Updated ( Friday, 21 December 2007 )
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More...
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TTO Daily Update 12/20/07
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TTO Daily Update 12-19-07
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TTO Daily Update 12/18/07, Possibly an important day
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TTO Daily Update 12/17/07
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TTO Weekend Update 12/16/07
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TTO Daily Update 12/13/07
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TTO Daily Update 12/12/07
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TTO Daily Update 12/11/07, Disapointment from the Fed
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TTO Daily Update 12/10/07, Normal Pre FOMC action
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TTO Weekend Update 12/09/07
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