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Tactical Trading Outlook
TTO Daily Update 12/27/07, a minor miss step Print E-mail
Written by Jim Patterson   
Thursday, 27 December 2007

Here’s the Deal:

Holiday schedule: I will have a short report Friday afternoon and that will be the last report until Wednesday January 2, unless something dramatic happens.

 

Suicide bombing assassinations tend to rock markets globally. After four consecutive days of advance a measured pullback was somewhat expected. Thursday’s unfortunate events magnified a somewhat expected correction and by the end of the day with the low volume holiday climate the sellers managed to gain some serious traction. If it persists then we will be forced to re-evaluate our overall considerations.

The bad news, the overall outlook is grim. Here is another story outlining the devastation in the banking and lending sector.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/12/23/cccrisis123.xml&page=1
The good news, the overall outlook is grim. This is a case of having reached the point where everyone is keenly aware of the problems and the possible repercussions should the issues fail to be addressed in a timely manner. Applying the correct solution is secondary to the fact visible attempts are being made to surmount the current problems at hand.

Trading was a little brisker than Wednesday as expected. However, it was driven by a slight measure of short-term panic. With the negative news developments in conjunction with a softer than expected durable goods report, the market quickly lost its bright holiday spirit. In the grand scheme of things, this should amount to a somewhat normal minor pullback in line with our very short-term cycle expectations.

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TTO Daily Update 12/26/07 Print E-mail
Written by Jim Patterson   
Wednesday, 26 December 2007

Here’s the Deal:

At last, Christmas Vacation. What a great time of year. We had a wonderful Christmas and I hope you had one too. I even managed to find time to take a nap. Now it is time to get back to work, well, sort of anyway.

I found an excellent article depicting the current Sub-Prime Lending situation. It has some nice graphics.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7073131.stm?src=rss

 

Christmas Eve Trading was stupendous as spirits were bright and after the holiday, spirits remains high. Maybe it is because the credit card bills haven’t shown up yet. The day after wasn’t much of a day. Tuesday is a great day for the Christmas Holiday. With a half day on Monday very little gets done, and by the time people awaken from their Christmas slumber (read: Thursday morning) there just isn’t a whole lot of week left to get things done, so sit back and relax. Take in a movie; we don’t expect much over the next few days.

Last Updated ( Wednesday, 26 December 2007 )
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TTO Weekend Update 12/21/07 Print E-mail
Written by Jim Patterson   
Friday, 21 December 2007

Here’s the Deal:

*** The market closes at 1:00 PM on Monday the 24. The next update will be Wednesday Evening unless something dramatic happens on Monday, which is not expected.

First ORCL and now RIMM, how can this be, companies reporting good earnings when the financial system is busting at the seams? Simple, the economy is chugging along while the banking system is in a state of extreme distress. At the end of the day, all our work is pointing towards higher prices into the New Year and with expiration on Friday the overdue move finally took off.

Key resistance levels were smashed on the open thereby crushing the near-term bearish alternatives. Our cycle work continues to point higher. Resistance levels can now be defined by upside Fibonacci extension levels.
If our overall interpretation is correct then from a big picture pattern stand point, the market just completed a major wave 2 correction within a much larger 5 wave rally pattern.  Of course, as the current push higher unfolds we will be looking for particular characteristics to confirm our big picture expectations.

Last Updated ( Friday, 21 December 2007 )
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More...
  • TTO Daily Update 12/20/07
  • TTO Daily Update 12-19-07
  • TTO Daily Update 12/18/07, Possibly an important day
  • TTO Daily Update 12/17/07
  • TTO Weekend Update 12/16/07
  • TTO Daily Update 12/13/07
  • TTO Daily Update 12/12/07
  • TTO Daily Update 12/11/07, Disapointment from the Fed
  • TTO Daily Update 12/10/07, Normal Pre FOMC action
  • TTO Weekend Update 12/09/07
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It should not be assumed that recommendations made will be profitable or will equal the past performance of securities discussed herein. The information herein is collected from various sources believed to be reliable but cannot be guaranteed in any way. Patterson Capital, Inc., Patterson Relative Strength Report, nor their employees or directors shall be liable in any manner for losses of any kind. The firm, its affiliates and their respective offices, directors, employees and clients may or may not have a position long or short in stocks mentioned in this publication and may from time to time increase or decrease their positions. All performance numbers presented are hypothetical and do not represent actual trading.
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