topleft
topright
Time & Cycles Trading Forum
An Elite Trading Community
Tell them you were referred by: tacticaltrading
Getting Started with the DDD Print E-mail
Written by Jim Patterson   
Friday, 01 October 2004

Congratulations on taking the first step to building wealth with the Dow Double Diamond Plan. You have chosen a robust plan that is capable of producing the wealth you want, and potentially much faster than you thought possible. Now, you're asking...

What do I do now?

First, relax. Wealthbuilding takes a little time, even with the potent Dow Double Diamond Plan. And though you may be in a hurry to get going, I want to make sure you get started on the right foot and moving down the right track. Right off, you are going to have to make a couple of decisions on how you are going to implement the Dow Double Diamond Plan. After that, following the trading instructions is easy. If you have made a stock transaction before then you already know how to make the trades.

 


Here is what you have to do first

Because the Dow Double Diamond Plan (DDD Plan) captures Dow movements in both directions, you will be making both long and short trades. And Exchange rules require that you open a margin account in order to make short trades. Having a margin account does not mean you have to use leverage; you can still trade on a straight cash basis (for instance, for income or conservative growth investing). But you will need the margin account to operate the DDD Plan. Unfortunately, a retirement account is not allowed to be a margin account, and therefore you cannot sell short in it. But you can still use the DDD Plan to build wealth for your retirement. You'll simply pay taxes on the growth each year, and your accumulated wealth will be tax free later on. Or you can get an IRA execution account. They will make the DDD trades for you, and all your growth will be tax-deferred (see "Auto Trading" below). Otherwise, if you do not have a margin agreement for an existing brokerage account then you will need to contact your brokerage. They will be delighted to assist you in establishing this type of account. Do that now.

Next, choose how you will trade the DDD Plan

Once you're familiar with the DDD plan and, preferably, have set a wealth goal, you'll need to decide how to use it: on a straight cash basis, at 2:1 leverage, at 3:1 leverage, at 5:1 leverage, or by allocating to two or more of these approaches. For our purposes we will call them 1x, 2x, 3x, and 5x. Don't let all these choices confuse you; the DDD plan is designed to be adaptable to your specific wealth- building needs.The idea is to simply allocate to one or more of these approaches, in order to target the annual growth rate needed to attain your wealth goal on time. Just know that leverage multiplies the cash DDD return for both winning and losing trades. The 2x program approximately doubles the return. The 3x program approximately triples it. And the 5x approximately quintuples it.

Since the DDD Plan is a conservative trading system, you can use leverage without excessive risk and that also makes it acceptable for large allocations. In fact, leverage increases the volatility or short-term risk, but not necessarily the long-term risk, as the plan has shown excellent results over the long term. Look under the heading "Goal Setting," which you"ll find on the home page under General Info, to see how the different levels of leverage impact the returns. For generating income, you can trade the DDD plan on a straight cash basis (1x). For a conservative growth approach, you can choose 200% margin (2x leverage)at your favorite brokerage firm, or you can open a 2x execution account. For a moderate growth approach, you can trade the Dow Diamond single stock futures at 3x and for this you'll need an execution account. For aggressive growth, you can trade the Dow Diamond single stock futures at your brokerage firm or with a 5x execution account.

For the cash and 200% margin trading (2x leverage), the investment vehicle of choice is the Dow Diamond Trust. The ticker symbol is DIA, and you can bring up a quote for the DIA on just about any website, such as yahoo.com. You'll find that it is quite easy to keep up with the daily prices. You can also trade the Dow Diamond single stock futures, which trades at 500% margin (5x leverage). The current ticker symbol on my quote machine, Thompson One, is DIA1C/H5. If you are going to use this alternative, I recommend you first familiarize yourself with the single stock futures and the risks of trading them. I am not trying to discourage you from trading them, as the futures did produce far greater returns in both our 8-year and 28-month test periods, but I want to make sure you understand that there are some differences involved in trading these vehicles, and because of the high leverage factor you'll see much greater price swings in your account. Typically, the disclaimer for futures trading goes like this: There is a high degree of risk in trading futures and this asset class is not suitable for every investor.

Getting starting trading the DDD Plan

Once you have an account and have chosen how you will trade the DDD Plan, you are ready to trade. But when do you actually start? Most likely, the Dow Double Diamond Plan is currently either long or short. Should you jump right in or wait until the next trading signal? This is the only judgment call you will encounter in your trading. And it's up to you. Consider that, on average, the plan trades about once in ten days. If you are unsure how to proceed, then wait to begin on a fresh signal. From time to time, however, I will mention in the daily updates whether or not it is a good day to establish new positions.

Reading the daily email briefing and trade alerts

On a daily basis before the market opens, you will get a brief email showing our current position and the day's trading levels. I will also mention how likely it is that we will make a trade on that particular day. These are not fancy or long reports. They are short and straight to the point. From time to time, I may add a little commentary regarding important issues or longer-term market expectations. But most of the time they will be very brief and give you just the information you need. This saves you time.


Sample report for a Thursday

Thursday November 11, 2004
The DDD system went long on October 28, when the Dow was at 10,018
The Dow closed at 10,385 yesterday and we are still long.
The current stop is 9717. But our plan may issue an "exit and go short" signal before the Dow falls to that level. If that happens I will send an email trade alert.
I do not expect a change in our position today, but keep the stop number in mind just in case.


Most trades will be made on Friday. Friday just happens to be a very important day of the week. What happens on Friday often sets the tone for the upcoming week. This phenomenon is one of the core principles on which the Dow Double Diamond Plan is built. On Friday, when or if the Dow reaches a pre-determined point, we will make a position change. Most of the time we will be going from long to short, or from short to long, so technically you will be making two trades at the same time.


Sample report for the following Friday

Friday November 12, 2004
The DDD system went long on October 28, when the Dow was at 10,018
The Dow closed at 10,469 yesterday and we are still long.
If the Dow falls to 10,386 then "close the long and go short."
The Dow closed well above the reversal point yesterday and I don't expect a change, but we have to be ready to act if the Dow starts moving lower.


Then on Friday, let's say the Dow goes down. During the day, an email alert will be sent to you as soon as the trigger point is reached. Often, if it looks as if there is a good chance we will make a position change, I will send a pre-trade alert. This is a heads-up alert, so you will know you need to pay close attention. But, and this is important: even when a pre-trade alert is sent, you must not jump the gun. This is a mechanical system. Human judgment has intentionally been removed from the process. If you jump the gun then you will be making a "judgment call" and that is not what this system is about. Follow the trade alerts diligently. That's important if you want good results.

The Dow Double Diamond Plan is a robust system that capitalizes on the market's natural tendencies, which interestingly are a direct result of the "human judgment calls" that we are avoiding. When taken in mass, however, there is a great deal of predictability in the behavior that drives the market, and that is precisely what we are taking advantage of. There is always a temptation to try and out-fox the system, but we want to follow the system and let it do the work. Let it make the hard decisions. All we have to do is wait until a previously stated signal price is reached. Then we can make the trade.


Sample Trading Alert for Friday

Friday November 12, 2004
!!! TRADING ALERT !!!

The DDD system went long on October 28, when the Dow was at 10,018
Today the Dow fell to the trading point of 10,386.
Sell the long position and go short now!
The new stop is $10,697.


It is important for you to act on the trading recommendation immediately, in order to make sure your entry price is at or very near our recommended price. There will be occasions when time is critical to obtain the correct price. If you are like me and have a hectic day job, but unlike me, are not sitting in front of a computer screen watching the stock market all day, then you may want to consider an execution account.

Auto Trading

execution is a practical way to handle things if you are too busy to watch the market and make the occasional DDD trades, and the fees are quite reasonable. Basically, your DDD execution account is a regular account that you set up with a broker who offers DDD trading. You remain in control of your money, and the broker simply makes the trades for you. Currently, there are two brokers providing this service. One is Robbins Securities, who will do straight cash (1x) and 200% margin (2x) trading using the Dow Diamonds, but only for regular accounts (no IRA). Another broker offers 2x, 3x, and 5x DDD trading for both regular and tax-deferred IRA accounts, using Dow futures, and this makes it easier to take advantage of the DDD wealth-building protocol (for details, click on the Goal Setting tab on the home page). For the name of this broker, send us an email, as CFTA regulations prevent us from advertising them here. Once you have established your execution account with one of these firms, they will execute the DDD trades for you automatically, based on the trade signals I send to all DDD members.

Simply put, DDD execution is simply an agreement with your broker, instructing them to execute the DDD trades when the DDD signals are triggered. You can always adjust your allocations or change your agreement at any time. Keep in mind that you remain in control of your money and can access it at any time. This is the easiest way to follow the DDD plan, as there is literally nothing to do but monitor your results and periodically adjust your allocations, if necessary, to stay on track for success.

Follow the Dow and trade the DIA

Now, you probably noticed I mentioned the best way to trade the signals is by using the Dow Diamonds, ticker symbol DIA. In the trading alerts, however, I have list prices for the Dow. When the Dow reaches a signal point, don't worry about the price of the DIA because the system is more accurate when triggered by the Dow. Here's why: The DIA is equal to the price of the Dow divided by 100. The ratio is fixed, but during the trading day there is some fluctuation. When the Dow is at 10,000 the DIA will be very close to 100. They move in tandem. If the Dow moves, then the DIA moves an equal amount on a relative basis. That is the way it works and that makes it easy. So when it comes time to make a trade, say "sell and go short," you should sell the DIA at the market (close your long position) and then sell short at the market.

So, you ask, why not focus on just the DIA? The problem with that idea is the DIA is a derivative and it tends to overshoot things a little. If the Dow was above 10,000 at say 10,050 and then fell 50 points to 10,000. The DIA might overshoot on the downside and trade at 99.95. If our signal point on the Dow was 9998 and the Dow bottomed at 10,000 and turned higher then we would not make a trade. But if we followed the DIA we would end up making the trade, and that would be wrong. This may sound a little confusing, but I have studied the issue in depth, and the DDD Plan works best when we use the DIA as a vehicle, and the Dow as a trigger. Over time the potential for slippage is present, but it is not significant. If you are using futures with leverage you should anticipate some minor slippage. However, once you fully understand futures and how they work, you'll see that this is not a problem. Over time, the minor fluctuations tend to balance out. And since we are focused on the long-term goal of wealthbuilding this issue is of little concern.

That about covers everything you need to know. If you have any further questions please see the FAQ page first. I also recommend that you read the monthly articles from our publisher, Dick Sanders, on the subject of wealth building. He'll be discussing the benefits of the plan as well as several practical things you can do to ensure your success. Finally, feel free to email me with any questions that are not covered on our web site. You'll find a quick link in my daily email updates.

The important thing is to get started. The sooner you do, the sooner you'll be on your way to the wealth you want. Thanks for joining us!

 

Jim Patterson
Editor
Dow Double Diamond Plan

Last Updated ( Wednesday, 10 October 2007 )
 
< Prev   Next >
Advertisement






The Dow Double Diamond system was designed for trading the Dow Diamonds (symbol DIA). Some investors may choose to use the system with Dow or Dow Diamond futures or even options. Futures and options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Performance results are hypothetical. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.

There is risk of loss in all trading. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
Results are hypothetical. Hypothetical results do not correspond to actual profits or losses.

©2007 Tactical Trading Outlook LLC.
All rights reserved.

It should not be assumed that recommendations made will be profitable or will equal the past performance of securities discussed herein. The information herein is collected from various sources believed to be reliable but cannot be guaranteed in any way. Patterson Capital, Inc., Patterson Relative Strength Report, nor their employees or directors shall be liable in any manner for losses of any kind. The firm, its affiliates and their respective offices, directors, employees and clients may or may not have a position long or short in stocks mentioned in this publication and may from time to time increase or decrease their positions. All performance numbers presented are hypothetical and do not represent actual trading.
Joomla Template by Joomlashack
Joomla Templates by JoomlaShack Joomla Templates