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Performance of the PRS methodology Print E-mail
Written by Jim Patterson   
Thursday, 17 May 2007

When push comes to shove, it is all about performance. You have seen the ads, the hype, the promises, but what happens when the rubber hits the road. Does the system really work? How does it behave over time and in different markets?  When it comes to anything related to people, and the market is ultimately driven by human nature, no approach is going to work every day because people are people. As investors and traders we want a system that consistently puts us in a position to succeed and the PRS methodology continues to prove its effectiveness and value.

The PRS Report was launched on November 1, 2006. As of October 3, the PRS report has been "live" and making recommendations for over eleven months. The chart below shows the performance of all stocks having reached our entry criteria from November 1 through October 3 vs. the S&P 500.

  • As of October 3, 2007
    • the S&P 500 has advanced a scant 11.5%
    • The composite average for PRS stock selections is up 16.5%, 5% better than the S&P
prs_perf_10-3-07.gif

Our open Active Recommended list continues to beat the S&P 500 by a significant margin.

After the market peaked in July 2007 the very strong stocks we are always focused on were hit with heavy selling and panicked investors booked profits. However, many stocks did not reach their exit criteria and once the recovery began the strong stocks resumed their roll as out performers. As a result we have seen a performance rapidly return. 

In late February the stocks we focus on were powering higher reaching an extreme peak. When the late February correction set in the extended stocks pulled back more relative to the S&P 500. However, as is most often the case, the strongest stocks rebounded quickly with many pushing on to new highs. The PRS Performance line quickly rebounded performing much better than the S&P 500.

At the February high our exclusive PRS Time Plane indicated a high risk condition. As a result we were telling folks to maintain a conservative position (read: hold a lot of cash) during February. As a result, our model portfolio was carrying a healthy cash position, which insulated us from the sharp pullback. With strong stocks and a conservative position we continue to out perform the S&P 500. 

The composite Performance lines are based on the average daily percentage change for all Open Active Recommendations after 11/1/06.

Summary Table of Recomendations:

Overall Results 11/1/06 to 10/3/07
100 Stocks UP  
105 Stocks Down  
205 Total Trade Count
23.55% Average Gain  
(14.22%) Average Loss  
4.20% Average per Stock
862.01% Total % Gains  

Learn More About the PRS methodology

The chart below shows the PRS Composite return for all stocks reaching our entry criteria vs the S&P 500 since June 1, 2004. The data before 11/1/06 is "back tested" data using the same entry and exit criteria. Viewing over three years of data the out performance of our methodology is clearly visible. Our Strategy produced a return of 145%, almost four times the price performance of the S&P 500's return of 36.9%.  

Key BLUE Line = PRS Composite Return
Black Line = S&P 500 Return
prs_perf_lt_10-03-07.gif

Strong stocks tend to remain strong and continue moving higher at a faster rate than the overall market. In fact, that is why we call them strong stocks. Stocks that don't perform as well as the rest are weak and we avoid those issues. Over the course of time, Money chases performance. Because of this human constant, stocks that are leading the market higher tend to continue leading the market higher and that is how one racks up consistently large returns. Corrections come and corrections go, but traders and investors alike always want to own the strongest stocks, the ones going up the faster than the rest and that is why the PRS methodology works. 

Subscribe NOW, 30-days Free! 

The long-term chart validates the earning potential of our process.  

 

 

Last Updated ( Thursday, 04 October 2007 )
 
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It should not be assumed that recommendations made will be profitable or will equal the past performance of securities discussed herein. The information herein is collected from various sources believed to be reliable but cannot be guaranteed in any way. Patterson Capital, Inc., Patterson Relative Strength Report, nor their employees or directors shall be liable in any manner for losses of any kind. The firm, its affiliates and their respective offices, directors, employees and clients may or may not have a position long or short in stocks mentioned in this publication and may from time to time increase or decrease their positions. All performance numbers presented are hypothetical and do not represent actual trading.
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