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Goal Setting Print E-mail
Written by Jim Patterson   
Wednesday, 24 January 2007

Dear DDD Wealth Builders:

Exciting news! We have almost 4 years of very accurate Dow Double Diamond performance data that shows compound annual growth rates of 34%, 52%, and 86%, for our 2x, 3x, and 5x trading programs respectively.

Now that we have this longer-term track record, I'd like to suggest that you take a few moments to set a new wealth goal. Our 4-year returns, which combine hypothetical back-tested and live trading results, should be a more accurate indicator of what we can expect going forward, since it includes both good and poor performance under a variety of market conditions.

dick-sanders

Follow this procedure to determine your DDD wealth potential

April 2006

 

To make setting your new goal really easy, I've included compound annual growth tables for 30%, 50%, and 80% (just under our 4-year performance to allow for trading fees and slippage). In the tables below, you'll see what various investments grow to in 5, 7, 10, and 12 years at these annual growth rates. But before we get to that, let's briefly review the unique DDD wealth-building protocol:

1. Set a wealth goal and a date for attaining it.

2. Determine the compound annual growth rate you'll need to attain your goal on time.

3. Allocate among the 2x, 3x, and 5x DDD investments to target your growth rate.

4. Monitor your progress and annually adjust your allocations to stay on track for success.

The big advantage here, of course, is that the DDD plan lets you set a wealth goal and an attainment date, and also gives you a way to adjust your wealth-building speed so you'll have the best possible chance of reaching your goal on time. As far as we know, this DDD benefit is unique in the financial arena today.

Now, if you've been with us for a while and have been reading the monthly wealth-building articles, you already know how to plan your future wealth using this protocol and can jump ahead to "Setting your new wealth goal." If you're new, however, or just haven't got around to setting your goal yet, let me show you how it's done. Just remember that past DDD performance is not a guarantee of your future returns, that there is risk of loss in all stock market trading, and that the short-term risk of loss increases with leverage.

You can trade the Dow Diamonds (symbol DIA) at your favorite brokerage firm on full margin and get a 2:1 return on your investment. Our 4-year performance shows 34% annually at 2x. You can also trade the Dow Diamond single stock futures and get a 5:1 return. Our 4-year performance shows 86% annually at 5x. But what if the growth rate you need to attain your goal on time is between 34% and 86%? No problem: simply allocate one portion of your investment capital to the 2x investment and another to the 5x investment (see guidelines on 5x trading further ahead). After that, you can make annual adjustments in your allocations, as needed, to stay on track for success.

Make it easy on yourself with auto-trading

The simplest way to follow the DDD plan, as well as the easiest way to make an allocation plan that will target your growth rate, is to use an auto-trading broker who offers 2x, 3x, and 5x DDD trading for both regular and tax-deferred IRA accounts (send us an email and we will provide the name of one). Keep in mind, if you use your IRA, you'll get the full advantage (and miracle) of compounded growth and won't be burdened by income taxes until you start taking withdrawals.

The neat thing about these auto-trading services is that you don't have to keep up with Jim's daily e-mail briefings. You don't have to watch the market. And you don't have to worry about making the trades on time. Your broker will do all that for you. You do have to set a goal and a date for attaining it, plus determine the growth rate you'll need to reach your goal on time. But once you know those things, you can instruct your broker to allocate your funds to their 2x, 3x, and 5x DDD programs to target the rate you need to succeed. Just remember, in the course of trading you will have both gains and losses, and your results will vary from year to year. It's important that you monitor your results and periodically reallocate among the various leveraged programs to stay on track for success. Again, that's the DDD protocol.

Setting your new wealth goal

Again, past performance is not a guarantee of future returns, but it can be a useful guide for setting wealth goals, especially when we intend to monitor our progress and periodically adjust our allocation plans. This is a unique benefit of the DDD wealth-building program, and one that gives us confidence that we can actually attain our wealth goals on schedule, or pretty close to it.

Now, to set your new wealth goal using the compound annual growth tables below, simply locate your investment amount in the left-hand column, then follow across horizontally to see what it can grow to in 5, 7, 10, and 12 years. If necessary, you can add two figures in the left column (such as $10,000 and $25,000 to get $35,000), as long as you also add the two corresponding future values. You can also multiply any investment amount by a given factor, as long as you multiply the future values by that same factor. That way, you can determine the future values of any investment at these rates. Let's look at the tables, and then I'll give you a couple of wealth-building examples.

2x trading targeting 30% compound annual growth:

$10,000 investment: 5 yrs $37,129; 7 yrs $62,748; 10 yrs $137,858; 12 yrs $232,980

$25,000 investment: 5 yrs $92,823; 7 yrs $156,871; 10 yrs $344,646; 12 yrs $582,452

$40,000 investment: 5 yrs $148,517; 7 yrs $250,994; 10 yrs $551,443; 12 yrs $931,923

$65,000 investment: 5 yrs $241,340; 7 yrs $407,865; 10 yrs $896,080; 12 yrs $1,514,375


3x trading targeting 50% compound annual growth:

$10,000 Investment: 5 yrs $75,937; 7 yrs $170,859; 10 yrs $576,650; 12 yrs $1,297,463

$25,000 investment: 5 yrs $189,843; 7 yrs $427,148; 10 yrs $1,441,625; 12 yrs $3,243,658

$40,000 investment: 5 yrs $303,750; 7 yrs $683,437; 10 yrs $2,306,601; 12 yrs $5,189,853

$65,000 investment: 5 yrs $493,593; 7 yrs $1,110,585; 10 yrs $3,748,277; 12 yrs $8,433,511


5x trading targeting 80% compound annual growth:

$10,000 Investment: 5 yrs $188,956; 7 yrs $612,220; 10 yrs $3,570,467; 12 yrs $11,568,313

$25,000 Investment: 5 yrs $472,392; 7 yrs $1,530,550; 10 yrs $8,926,168; 12 yrs $28,920,784

$40,000 Investment: 5 yrs $755,827; 7 yrs $2,448,880; 10 yrs $14,281,868; 12 yrs $46,273,255

$65,000 Investment: 5 yrs $1,228,219; 7 yrs $3,979,430; 10 yrs $23,208,036; 12 yrs $75,194,039


Now, so you'll be clear on how these compounding tables work, let me give you a couple of examples using a tax-deferred IRA account. Let's say you want $1.4 million in 10 years and you have $25,000 today. Scan the tables. Note you can get $1.4 million in 10 years if you earn 50% compounded annually. For this goal, you'll be targeting 50% annual growth, so allocate 100% to the 3x program.

Let's say you want $1.3 million in 7 years and you have $50,000 today. Note that in the 50% table the 7-year value for $40,000 is $683,437. Now jump to the 80% table. Note the 7-year value for $10,000 is $612,220. When you add the future values for these $10,000 and $40,000 investments ($50,000 total), you'll have your $1.3 million. For this goal you'll be targeting about 60% annually, so allocate 80% to 3x program and 20% to the 5x program.

Let's do one more. Let's say you want $10 million in 10 years and you have $85,000 today. Check the future values for various investments at the three rates. Note that if you put $65,000 in the 3x program and attain 50% compounded annually, your investment will grow to $3.7 million in 10 years. There's no listing for $20,000, but you can double the future values for $10,000 and get the correct result. And thus if you put $20,000 in the 5x program and attain 80% compounded annually, your investment will grow to about $7 million in 10 years. Add those two future values together and you'll have over $10 million. For this goal you'll be targeting about 62% annually, so allocate 75% to the 3x program and 25% to the 5x program.

Please note that these compounded growth tables deal only with lump sum investments, and more than likely you'll be periodically adding more money to your IRA or other investment accounts, so your future wealth should be even higher. By the way, you can calculate the future value of any size investment on a hand calculator. For 30% compound annual growth, multiply by 1.30 for as many years as you intend to build wealth. For 50% compound annual growth, multiply by 1.50 for each year. And for 80% compound annual growth, multiply by 1.80. And remember, you're not locked in to these rates. With a custom allocation plan, you can target any rate between about 30% and 80%. Now, let me answer a couple of really important questions...

If the biggest gains are made with the 5x program, why not just put all your money there?

The reason is simple. 5x leverage cuts both ways: both your gains and losses will be multiplied by a factor of 5. And although over time the greatest gains will most likely be achieved by the 5x program (as our 4-year results show) you'll have to ask yourself if you can stomach the emotional rollercoaster ride that comes with 5x investing. A few losing trades in a row can bring a 7% or 8% loss on a cash basis, and that becomes a 35% to 40% drawdown at 5x leverage. Many people become nervous wrecks with a drawdown that large and quit before their accounts have a chance to rebound and potentially set new highs.

Many years of back testing and live trading show that the DDD plan periodically goes through a rough patch during which it has more losing trades than winning trades. In spite of this, it shows excellent long-term results, and thus anyone who perseveres is likely to do very well, and even better at the higher leverages. The important thing to grasp is that there will be winning trades and losing trades, and the losing periods can be emotionally very difficult to deal with, especially at high leverage. Therefore, unless you have nerves of steel Jim recommends that you allocate no more than one-third of your capital to the 5x program.

Why is setting a wealth goal and a date for attaining it important?

There are actually 3 very good reasons. First, you can't know how to use the DDD plan until you have a goal and a date. Those two things determine the growth rate you'll need to succeed. And your target growth rate determines how you'll allocate to the 2x, 3x, and 5x investments.

Second, unless you have a target growth rate, you can't measure your progress. Your growth rate is your benchmark. If you find you're off the mark, you'll need to make adjustments in your allocation plan to get a higher or lower rate. That's how you'll stay on track to reach your goal on time.

Third, having a goal, an attainment date, a target growth rate and an adjustable allocation plan to stay on track for success will give you "peace of mind." Basically, you know that you are in control. And unlike most investors whose financial futures are a crapshoot, you can be confident that your plan has the potential to deliver the money you want on the date you specify, or pretty darn close to it.

To sum up, Jim and I are very excited about our 4-year performance and the fact that these longer-term results should be far more accurate for goal-setting purposes. No guarantees, but should we do as well in the future as we have in the past, the wealth-building potential is tremendous. So please set a new wealth goal today, then follow the 4-step DDD wealth-building protocol to give yourself the best chance of getting your wealth on time!

Sincerely,

Dick Sanders

Last Updated ( Wednesday, 10 October 2007 )
 
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The Dow Double Diamond system was designed for trading the Dow Diamonds (symbol DIA). Some investors may choose to use the system with Dow or Dow Diamond futures or even options. Futures and options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Performance results are hypothetical. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.

There is risk of loss in all trading. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
Results are hypothetical. Hypothetical results do not correspond to actual profits or losses.

©2007 Tactical Trading Outlook LLC.
All rights reserved.

It should not be assumed that recommendations made will be profitable or will equal the past performance of securities discussed herein. The information herein is collected from various sources believed to be reliable but cannot be guaranteed in any way. Patterson Capital, Inc., Patterson Relative Strength Report, nor their employees or directors shall be liable in any manner for losses of any kind. The firm, its affiliates and their respective offices, directors, employees and clients may or may not have a position long or short in stocks mentioned in this publication and may from time to time increase or decrease their positions. All performance numbers presented are hypothetical and do not represent actual trading.
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